Thanks for the calculation. I also consulted the formula in
the Condon
Report (Bantam ed. p. 190; or on the Web at National Capital
Area Skeptics
website) which might be more accessible for some who have problems
downloading a
PDF (or analyzing the algebra). And I got a magnitude of
-2.1 from the CR's
formula which is even less bright than the mag -4.6 you got for a
73-ft (22 m)
balloon at 140 miles (225 km). I agree that just like Venus
it is almost
invisible in the daytime sky.
I am not sure where you got the 73 by 129 ft figures from but I
suspect that
if the balloon plastic envelope is 73 ft that the 129 is the total
length with
both balloon and cable/package thus the latter is 56 ft long (73 +
56 = 129
ft).
Your 1970 satellite analysis report from North American Rockwell
(PDF p. 9),
based on 22,000 observations of satellites including the Echo
balloon
satellites, gives the formula:
m = -26.58 - 2.5log[AYF/R^2]
where A is cross-sectional area of the object (pi times radius
squared for a
sphere or circular flat plate), Y is the reflectivity (assume 100%
for maximum
conceivable even though that is impossible), F is the phase factor
depending
on sun-observer-object angle and they give a table of formulas to
calculate it
on p. 10 (but the maximum would be 0.21), and R is the slant range
to the
object. Use consistent units throughout for A and R (if
meters then don't use
kilometers anywhere else in the formula, if you use feet don't use
miles
elsewhere, etc.). .
The Condon Report formula is:
m = -7.16 - 5logD +5logR,
where D is diameter of object, R is slant range, again use
consistent units
for both D and R.
I do know an optical physicist interested in UFO's, indeed the
leading
expert, Dr Bruce Maccabee, and I'm "cc-ing" him here if he should
have any comments.
Bottom line: No way the 70-foot Skyhook between Nashville
and Columbia could
be seen to the naked eye 140 miles away at Godman Tower or by
Mantell and his
wingmen or by various civilians calling in to Kentucky State
Police about a
250-300-foot disc traveling W at a "pretty fast clip," which is
the report that
triggered the alert at Godman at 1 PM that day (plus others, still
being
sorted out).