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INFORMATION SERIES |
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INFORMATION SERIES |
| With MADAR our prime goal is detection and
alerting so we can gather as much data as possible with an
automatic recording site and operators with hand-held
equipment: an Early Warning System with clearly defined
cause and effect relationships. In other words, a bonified
local UAP and a declared MADAR anomaly. What we get will
be, a) an uncorrelated target (no correlations); b) a
documented disturbance (lightning strike or
earthquake; c) a bonified UAP sighting; d) Other,
which includes events we are aware of such as system
resets, etc. In each instance the validity and value will be rated so that the value of the event can be compared to other events and specific cases can be recommended for scientific scrutiny. Findings will therefore be rated as "known", "possible", or "probable". The importance of such a method can clearly be seen by a study I made many years ago when the Air Force claimed to have explained most of the UFO reports they had "investigated". That word, "investigated" could be the subject of yet another paper, but for now let's look at the facts. Captain Edward Ruppelt, the former head of Project Blue Book for the Air Force, in his 1956 book, "The Report on Unidentified Flying Objects", gave some interesting statistics on Blue Book findings. Ruppelt's tenure was at a time when the Air Force was putting its best foot forward and the figures presented were based on 1,593 sightings. Less than 20 years later, in 1969 when Blue Book closed down, there were over 12,618 sightings on the books with 741 Unknowns. That equates to to only 5.8%. I later found out that these figures were derived from the Battelle Institute study which produced Project Blue Book Special Report 14. Let's look at those figures a little closer, the one's Ruppelt quoted in his book.
According to Ruppelt, and what the AF told the press and the public, the percentage of Unknowns was 26.94%. A scientific approach to these figures shows that only 11.21% were actually proven explained (total of column 1 which represents 179 cases) leaving, in actuality, 88.79% unexplained! These Blue Book figures (during the most serious time of it's life) were based on the then 1,593 sightings the Air Force had studied. Actually it's worse! They only "studied" 1,593 sightings, but had "received" over 4,400 with only 179 explained!!! That's less than 4% "explained"! If we were to state that a certain percentage of UFOs were "possible" or "probable" ET, the debunkers would remind us that, "scientifically", only the "proven" could be used in such an analysis. Using the Air Forces's actual numbers 11.21% were proven explained, leaving over 88% without a proven explanation. With something like that going on in U.S. air space, somebody in the Air Force should have been more concerned. This was a matter of national security and/or scientific interest. But with MADAR and events which might correlate, whether they be bonified sightings or other known disturbances such as earthquakes, and at various distances and times we have to be able to document the value of each finding for the scientist and the public. Fran Ridge MADAR Director |