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Mike,
Thank you for your
analysis and for your
much-appreciated work
in extracting the BB
file from Fold3.
It's tedious
work, I know.
We must not lose
sight of the fact this
is a marginal case at
best. Still, it
cannot be dismissed
either, for various
reasons as I will
explain below.
I must clarify that
I did not assume the
AFOSI investigator
Harry Peterson was
hostile, I picked it
up from his invidious
distortion of the
evidence to come up
with anti-witness
"gotchas" that he sets
up and cry out for
explanation as to what
he is implying,
yet leaves for
the reader's
imagination to
connect. He does
not explicitly
investigate such
issues but lets the
overall picture,
however falsely or
unfairly painted,
speak for itself
without digging to
find the actual truth.
He is a master
at passive-aggressive
innuendo, so that what
is left unsaid,
uncommented on, is as
important as what he
does say. The
technique is of the
following form, with
this hypothetical
illustration to make
it obvious:
We are not
dependent solely on
this AFOSI
investigator, as we
also have the very
early report by the Portland
Oregonian within
hours of the event
(there may be later
press reports), and we
can also compensate
for and correct for
the AFOSI
investigator's bias by
careful analysis, and
thereby get at the
actual core event.
Apparently, some
file material was
obtained by FOIA maybe
15+ some years ago, I
think by Jan Aldrich,
that supplies some
other data not
contained within the
BB file
(unfortunately, I
cannot find or access
the documents though
Jan might, but he is
traveling and can't
access his files right
now). This FOIA
material was partly
illegible but included
details that
father-in-law Smith
said the UFO was
stationary at about
1,000-2,000 ft
altitude when first
seen then started
moving at 30-50 mph
(without the original
FOIA documents I can't
be sure these numbers
are correctly read due
to
illegibility).
The most important
issue is the
impossibility of
witnesses seeing the
light aircraft (the
Luscombe Skypal
piloted by K. C.
Nicholson) from 20
miles away and the
extreme unlikelihood
of anyone noticing
something that could
barely even be seen at
10 miles and only if
you knew exactly where
in the sky to look and
perversely kept
staring at this
infinitesimal spot.
No one in their
right mind would think
a barely visible dot
was anything important
or worth reporting to
anyone.
This is the crucial
issue so I must repeat
what I said in my
posting:
Every single
one of these "profoundly
inconsistent
estimates of
angular size,
absolute size,
elevation angle,
and range [that
supposedly] throw
the case into
disarray" was created by
the AFOSI agent
Peterson through
selective
manipulation and
distortion of the
evidence obtained
nearly 3 months
after the fact (I
will get to this
below).
Furthermore,
if we ignore basic
UFO investigation
principles such as
the fact we get
great or even
fantastic
overestimates of
angular size using
the extremely poor
"arm's length"
method (which
should be outlawed
from use by all
but the most
skilled
investigators
carefully working
with a witness),
then we blame
the witness
for the investigator's
improper
methods and/or
lack of
experience.
Then we are
employing
debunkery.
We are
holding a witness
to PhD scientist
standards instead
of holding the investigator to
PhD scientist
standards.
The
angular elevation
has no
inconsistency
unless of course
one wants to find
one by perversely
selecting the data
(or selecting from
the range of data)
to make sure there
is one. The
Leckingtons "at
11:05 a. m.
Sunday, saw a
silvery object in
the sky above them
at an elevation
of about 2000
feet, they
reported," said
the Portland
Oregonian the
next day (p. 1).
The AFOSI
investigator had
the fully retyped
article which came
with the
investigation
orders and he
refers to "the
story in the
newspaper."
At the
estimated distance
of about 1/2 to
3/4 mile, this
2,000 foot
altitude would
represent an
elevation angle of
37 to 27
degrees,
completely
consistent
with the 35
degrees
reported by AFOSI
(probably
determined by the
AFOSI investigator
with the witness
showing him, not
some figure
offered by the
witness as if he
was a PhD
scientist spouting
off precise
angular measures).
Where the
AFOSI guy got the
500 ft altitude is
not explained by
him and he had an
obligation to
explain and
justify the
discrepancy with
the 2,000 ft
figure originally
given shortly
after the
sighting, which
takes precedence
as likely to be
more accurate as
it was
contemporaneous
not 3 months
later.
If
father-in-law
Smith's sighting
was simultaneous
or concurrent with
the Leckingtons,
using the
corrected lat-long
coordinates given
by AFOSI (an AFOSI
error put the
Leckingtons about
300 feet off the
highway, or would
AFOSI insinuate
that was the
Leckingtons' fault
too, in geodesy
and cartography?),
Smith was
about 1400
feet closer to
the UFO than
the
Leckingtons,
thus it would
obviously
appear higher
in the sky in
elevation
angle.
If it was 37
to 27 degrees to
the Leckingtons
(in exact
agreement with the
35-deg figure), it
would be 58
to 38 degrees
to Smith -- in
exact
agreement with
the 45-degree
figure
(assuming it
refers to the
elevation angle
and not the tilt
orientation angle
of the saucer
shape).
As
for AFOSI's
innuendo of a
stupid error by a
stupid old man
because he allegedly told
AFOSI the object
was overhead -- in
AFOSI's
innuendo-laden
words "however,
he also states
that it flew
directly over his
head" -- this is
easily resolved:
First, it is
an unfortunate
implied accusation
by an investigator
who apparently had
not learned (as I
have in numerous UFO
investigations over
the years) that most people
think a 45-degree
elevation is quote
"overhead" to them.
(My word
"overhead" is in
scare quotes for
ease of reference
since there is not
one verbatim quote
anywhere in the
entire AFOSI
report anyway.)
To the average
person, who is of
course not an
astronomer, that is
close enough.
There is no
law
requiring "overhead"
to be 90
degrees
-- what happens to
89 degrees then?
Is that no
longer "overhead"?
What about 80
or 70 or 60 degrees,
etc.?
Who says where
the line is drawn
for the average
person or has any
right to impose
their own notion of
what the average
person ought
to mean
when they make
casual observations
like that??
Why not ask the
witness to point up
in the sky to show
what they mean by
"overhead" and in
this case point to
where the UFO was in
the sky then measure the
angle he points at?
(In fact, I
think that is
exactly what the
AFOSI investigator
did, had witnesses
point in the sky to
the UFO's position
then measured the
angle, because I
think that's how
Leckington's
35-degree figure was
arrived at, in which
case the AFOSI deliberately set
Smith's "overhead"
comment against the
measured 45 degrees
as if contradictory,
knowing full well
the 45 degs was the
measured figure
and should take
precedence as more
accurate data even
assuming it related
to the same moment
in the 1-minute
sighting which it
may not, see
next.)
Secondly, the
UFO was moving so
it could very well
have been seen
initially directly
"overhead" at about
90 degrees (assumed
exact here for
simplicity) then moved
away until it
disappeared at
about 45 degrees
elevation.
No frikkin
inconsistency
whatsoever, it was
at both 90 and 45
degs at different
times. If
Smith's 30-35 mph
speed figure (about
1/2 mile per minute
or slightly more) is
assumed for purposes
of calculation then
in the 1 minute of
his estimated
sighting duration it
would have moved,
well, obviously
about 1/2 mile (2,640
ft) or slightly
more. If this
velocity was roughly
divided between
radial and
transverse vector
components, assuming
level flight, then
it moved away from
Smith about 2,000 ft
from (the assumed)
90 degs "overhead"
in one minute until
it was 45 degrees
in elevation when
it disappeared to
Smith. Exactly
45 degs
if it moved 2,000 ft
outward at 2,000 ft
altitude.
Given the
inherently large
margin of error in
rough estimates like
that, there is no
point in nitpicking
over how much of
what vector velocity
component Smith
observed (he can
even perceive a
radial outward
component) it's in
the exactly right
ballpark and
stunningly
demolishes AFOSI's
innuendo.
Smith's
estimate of angular
size according to
AFOSI was "about the
size of the full
moon" (AFOSI's words
and I think derived
by the AFOSI
interview not
spontaneously
offered up by the
non-PhD witness).
At Smith's
estimate of altitude
of about 1,400 to
2,000 ft (I've been
using 2,000 ft
previously for
simplicity), this
corresponds to an
actual size of about
14 to 20 ft (more
exactly 13-19 ft),
in amazing agreement
with the
Leckingtons' 12-15
ft size estimate.
Again, the
arm's length figure
is highly unreliable
and worthless,
certainly does not
take priority over
the inherently much
more accurate
full-moon
comparison.
If Smith
purportedly hoaxed
his sighting report
to support his
daughter and
son-in-law, as AFOSI
charged, it is
amazing how all
these geometric and
physics quantities
of angular
elevation, angular
vs linear size, and
velocity vectors
work out so well,
with internal
consistency as well
as external
consistency with the
Leckingtons'
sighting angles and
linear dimensions.
Was Smith a
closet physicist
/ mathematician
as well as a
purported liar
hoaxer?
The loose
flight plan, which
didn't mention the
jog down to Hebo and
the turn east to
McMinnville (and
back again, of
course) probably
included a landing
at McMinnville
Airport for lunch at
nearly 12 Noon, then
back home, for a
total trip duration
of 2 hours.
Yes, as you
point out, there may
have been other
witnesses that the
AFOSI agent did not
bother to pursue,
suggested by the
radio station phone
calls to the airport
and the flying
school.
However, it is
also possible that
the "check of the
airport" for
aircraft aloft,
mentioned by the
newspaper, was done
by the radio station
and reported to the
paper for print
publication (a
common collaboration
of print and
broadcast media),
and thus may have
merely been prompted
by the sighting
report(s) of the
Leckingtons and
Smith.
Oh yes, I mean
both the Leckingtons
and Smith. The
newspaper conflated
the names of Charles
Leckington
and father-in-law Burt Smith
into the erroneous
compound name "Burt Leckington,"
clearly indicating
that the newspaper
heard about Burt
Smith's
sighting too on Jan 23 --
not the 24th.
Burt Smith's
sighting could not
possibly have
happened at late
morning to mid-day
on the 24th as AFOSI
alleged, without
directly commenting
on the date
discrepancy implied.
The article
was printed on early
Monday morning, Jan
24, 1949. How
else could the
newspaper have made
such a mistake?
There was no
reason even to know
of the existence of
Burt Smith on Jan
23, unless he
had seen the
same thing as
the Leckingtons
and that fact
was mentioned
(maybe without
details or
enough detail to
fully
incorporate it
in the rush to
press).
There was no
extra room in the
UFO article anyway
on the crowded front
page for another
paragraph just on
Smith's confirmatory
sighting.
Again, the
names could not
possibly have gotten
mixed up unless
"Burt" Smith was
already involved
with the sighting on
Jan 23. Thus
another alleged
contradiction
insinuated by the
AFOSI agent bites
the dust.
There were
Luscombe Skypals
built circa 1948
that were not shiny
metallic but painted
dull white (and the
Portland
Oregonian newspaper
was told the
specific plane in
the air at the time
of the sighting was
"yellow").
See:
www.1000aircraftphotos.com/Contributions/RobinsonMark/11337.htm
The flight
plan does confirm
that the plane was
"Silver" in color.
But reflective
does not actually
help here at all.
As mentioned
previously and
above, the sun was
coming from behind
thus shadowed by the
aircraft as seen
from the position of
the witnesses.
Mirror
reflection from the
wings will mirror
image the dark
ground and the
fuselage will mirror
the sky, thus
rendering the plane
less visible in
comparison to a
white or yellow
painted body --
which will remain
fairly bright at
almost any angle due
to diffuse
scattering rather
than mirror
reflection.
Let's consider
the possibility of a
bright sun
reflection off the
35-foot wing of the
Luscombe Skypal
aircraft tilted up
so that the mirror
image is of the
brilliant sun on the
flat shiny underside
not the image of
dark ground.
AFOSI claimed
that Leckington
could not discern a
"distinct shape"
because of the
brilliance of the
sunlight reflection
and that Mrs.
Leckington's account
"did not differ."
Yet according
to the newspaper
account on Jan 24,
"Mrs. Leckington
described the object
as round and
silver."
AFOSI did not
mention or explain
or resolve this
discrepancy, an
essential element of
the entire case.
Instead of
implying the
witnesses are liars
or fools as AFOSI
insinuates, it is
the AFOSI agent who
is the problem here.
Father-in-law
Smith said it was "a
silvery disc
the shape of a saucer
about
the size of the full
moon" (my God I sure
hope no one suggests
that Smith literally
meant the UFO was
the size of the moon
2,000 miles in
diameter!) according
to the wording of
AFOSI's report.
Yet, in
AFOSI's theory of
the case is that
blinding sunlight
reflected off the
Luscombe prevented
anyone from seeing
the shape of an
aircraft -- "the
lack of any shape
to the object
LECKINGTON saw ...
could easily have
been [due to] the
plane shining in
the sun."
How could
anyone say they saw
a "round" "saucer"
shape in that case?
AFOSI
insinuates they must
be hysterical fools
or deluded
incompetents.
With the sun
coming from behind,
the wing would have
had to be severely
tilted in order to
satisfy the law of
reflection (angle of
incidence on a flat
plane mirror must
equal the angle of
reflection).
How could the
wing have remained
tilted at exactly
the right angle for
the 3 minutes of the
sighting so that the
sun's image shined
on the witnesses?
At elevation
angles of the
presumed aircraft of
35-45 degs, and the
sun at elevation 23
degs (azimuth 159
degs or about SSE at
11:05 AM), the wing
would have had to be
tilted about 30 degs
from horizontal to
reflect the sun to
the ground witnesses
for 3 minutes, which
seems extremely
implausible maybe
physically
impossible for the
Luscombe Skypal.
At a ten times
lower elevation
angle (3.5 to 4.5
degs), as would be
required for a
distance of 20 miles
to the Luscombe
(which obviously
could not possibly
fly at ~100,000 ft
but more like
~10,000 ft or less),
the wing tilt to
reflect the sun to
the witnesses would
be roughly 15
degrees, still
rather steep and
unlikely to be able
to be maintained for
3 minutes. But
at that extreme
distance the sun's
reflection on the
ground would be
greatly enlarged
(~2,000 ft wide) and
stretched along a
glancing angle on
the ground (about 6
miles long) and thus
easier to
inadvertently
maintain a focus on
the witnesses'
location if there
was a way to
maintain a 15-deg
wing tilt for that
long. Still,
this scenario is
totally
contradictory to the
witnesses' reported
or derived elevation
angles of 35-45
degrees (or possibly
90 degs), all
requiring that the
aircraft (if that is
what the UFO was)
first be within a
mile of the
witnesses then 20
miles away within 3
minutes, thus a
speed of at least
380 mph, a physical
impossibility for
the underpowered
Luscombe Skypal with
65 hp engine and a
top speed of only
about 114-120 mph
(sea level vs. at
altitude of
5,000-10,000 ft
apparently)
Well, now we
have a problem in
angular elevations.
There is an
approximately
2,000-foot high
mountain ridge only
about 1 mile to the
SSE - SE of Pleasant
Valley, whereas the
elevation is only
about 140 ft above
sea level where the
Leckingtons were
located. That
translates to about
20 degrees high in
angular elevation
for the mountains
(the ridge tapers
off towards the S -
SSE where it's about
10-15 degrees high).
That means the
mountains would have
totally blocked the
view of the Luscombe
flying at perhaps
5,000 ft at most,
some 20 miles to the
SSE/SE, only about 3
degrees high above
the earth's
(invisible) horizon
blocked from view by
the intervening
mountains. The
"low passes enroute
to McMinnville" are
apparently among the
2,000 to 3,000 ft
mountains along the
route from Hebo to
McMinnville.
The AFOSI
agent's scenario is
that according to
the flight school at
Tillamook Airport,
the "silver colored,
aluminum finished
airplane had
departed for
McMinnville" at
about 10:45-11:00 AM
(consistent with the
10:50 time on the
flight plan):
Somewhat in
tension with this
scenario, the AFOSI
agent also proposed
that "The plane
drawing away
from LECKINGTON would
not seem to move"
though that
impression may
simply have been due
to the Leckingtons'
motion in the car
making it difficult
to see the motion of
the slow-moving
object when the
surrounding
background along the
road was moving
relative to the car.
"Drawing away"
would refer to the
flight path to Hebo
rather than the
subsequent aircraft
cross-motion to the
witnesses'
line-of-sight, along
the Hebo to
McMinnville leg of
the flight.
When the plane
flew from Tillamook
Airport to Hebo, if
it flew a straight
line, it would fly
about a mile west of
the witnesses near
Pleasant Valley and
would then head away
from them into the
distance to
Hebo.
The reason I
emphasize the
20-mile scenario to
the SSE or SE is
because it is the
AFOSI theory of the
case and at the
exact 11:05 AM time
of sighting given by
the newspaper
report, the Luscombe
plane would have
been at about that
distance to the SSE
of the witnesses
headed East to
McMinnville, if the
flight plan time of
takeoff was correct
in reality, 10:50
AM. We could
postulate a time
error in the 10:50
takeoff in the
flight plan in order
to place the
aircraft close to
the witnesses at the
time of the
sighting, after all
it's just a plan not
an actual record of
departure time.
But all of the
3 witnesses put the
UFO to the SE and it
would have taken the
aircraft at least 15
minutes to fly to
that point via Hebo,
and that makes the
distance to the
witnesses about 20
miles.
Do we just
disregard that fact
and say they were
ALL in error about
the direction and
that the UFO was
really to the S or
even the SSW along
the Luscombe
aircraft's presumed
flight path to Hebo?
The highway
the Leckingtons
drove on, heading S,
was oriented exactly
N-S. It would
be easy to tell
whether the UFO was
on the driver's side
to the left and SE,
or on the
passenger's side to
the right and SW.
Presumably the
AFOSI investigator
checked this azimuth
angle in checking
the elevation angles
which he apparently
measured -- he even
elicited the fact
the car windshield
was "clean."
Maybe he had
the Leckingtons get
inside their car and
drive to the spots
where they saw the
UFO, and show him
exactly where the
UFO was located in
the sky through the
windshield then
measured the
35-degree angle
above the horizon.
The AFOSI gave
the exact
latitude-longitude
coordinates of the
first sighting
location (correcting
the ~300 ft E-W
longitude error:
45°22'17" N,
123°48'16" W).
How else could
the agent have
determined the
location that
exactly?
Remember, this
is decades before
GPS was invented.
The problem
with debunkers is
that they take
potshots at a UFO
case, its witnesses,
its proponents, in
an effort to destroy
and pillage, but
without putting
forward a coherent
scientific
explanation in place
of the UFO case.
A skeptical
explanation must
obey the laws of
science and fit the
facts. But
debunkers are not
skeptics.
Debunkers do
not feel an
obligation to obey
the laws of science
and fit the facts.
The AFOSI
explanation scheme
here cannot stand on
its own. It's
just a collage of
potshots and
cheapshots.
When we
analyze the AFOSI
explanations further
we will see they
immediately fall
apart under the
weight of the laws
of physics and the
known facts.
To salvage the
aircraft IFO theory
we have to postulate
a directional error,
time error,
elevation angle
error and altitude
error. Suppose
we do. Let's
start with
directional error,
and abandon the SE
direction and
postulate a SSW
direction. We
would have to
hypothesize that the
witnesses saw the
Luscombe plane when
it was within about
1 mile of them (to
account for the
35-45+ degree
elevations) and in
2-1/2 to 3 minutes
disappeared due to
distance when it
would only have been
about 5 miles away
to the SSW headed
towards Hebo, with
no explanation as to
why it would have
disappeared in the
cloudless
crystal-blue clear
sky. At
initial sighting
within a mile it
would have been
roughly the same
Full Moon angular
size reported by
father-in-law Smith
-- why couldn't they
all see the obvious
aircraft shape at
that time when so
close? The sun
could not reflect
off the aircraft and
blind them from its
true aircraft shape
because the aircraft
could not tilt its
roughly flat-plane
wing underside (the
supposed mirror) at
a steep enough angle
to do so.
Flying away
from the witnesses,
the Luscombe's
35-foot wingspan
would have been
fully spread to view
and would have
subtended an angle
of about 4
arcminutes at the
end of the sighting,
or 4x the minimum
resolvable 1
arcminute.
Leckington and
the grocery store
owner Allen Hughes
grabbed binoculars
and went out to see
the UFO but it was
gone. But the
Luscombe would not
have been gone from
view, but would have
still been visible
in the clear blue
sky at about 4
arcminutes angular
size (and would be
flying in a
direction to the
S-SSW not blocked
to view by nearby
mountains like the
directions from S to
SE were
blocked).
With this
scenario, the
Luscombe plane could
not possibly have
tilted its wing to
reflect sunlight
onto the witnesses
to blind them with
glare that would
supposedly hide or
obscure its aircraft
shape. The
Luscombe could not
tilt the wing down
by the required 30
degrees or so (and
the wing would also
have to be severely
banked to the right
to catch the sun to
the left on the
underside).
Downward would
mean crashing.
Upward tilt by
climbing would not
present the flat
underside of the
wing to reflect the
sun but the upper
curved airfoil side,
thus not a
flat-plane mirror.
To get an idea
of the Luscombe's
maximum descent rate
and angle we can
estimate its climb
rate and angle,
which was about 10
degrees. (900
ft/min or fpm max
climb = 15 ft/sec =
10 mph approx.max
vertical component
of climb speed with
minimum horizontal
speed at least 50
mph and dangerously
close to stalling,
with arctan 10/50 =
~11 degs, but
probably much less
as horizontal
component of climb
speed was more
likely about 75-100
mph to be well above
stalling.)
We could
postulate a duration
error and say it was
actually 6 minutes
not 2.5 to 3
minutes, in order to
get the plane from
near the witnesses
then to Hebo and far
enough away at 10
miles to be a little
tiny dot that
Leckingtons and
Hughes missed seeing
in the sky, thus
accounting for its
disappearance.
But that would
still not give a
blinding sun
reflection to
obscure the
Luscombe's shape
when close. It
would also have the
problem of
conflicting with
angular elevation
data in that no one
reported the UFO
descending from 45+
degs to about 3-10
degs (or less) when
the aircraft was
over Hebo (the
Luscombe started
flying through "low
passes" there, and
this would mean
3,000 ft or lower,
which would be about
3 degs elevation, or
less; and I'm just
assuming a 10,000 ft
altitude for 10 degs
elevation near Hebo
to help the IFO
theory with every
benefit of the
doubt).
Or we could
just go for broke
and throw out
virtually all the
data and shred the
case. Using
free-form debunker
fantasy we can
construct a fake
case scenario
bearing little
resemblance to this
case. Here is
one debunker fantasy
scenario that
pseudo-accounts for
"almost" the whole
case -- if you trash
the directional,
time, elevation
angle, altitude,
angular velocity /
speed / distance,
size, angular size
and shape data --
basically
everything.
Suppose the
Luscombe was first seen over
Hebo about 10 miles
away but it was
through a
mirror-like sun
flash off the tilted
wing that first
attracted attention
(no one said that it
was a flash that
first caught their
attention, we're
just assuming it to
give this debunker
fantasy a chance).
Let's assume
that the pilot
Nicholson decided to
have some fun and
do, say, 3 tight 2-g
360-turns over Hebo
at a speed of about
70 mph, hence a
total 10 seconds per
loop for a total of
30 seconds (don't
know if the Luscombe
was even capable of
a 2 g turn or a wing
tilted 15+ degs),
and let's say that
near the beginning
of each loop (thus a
sharp right turn)
the wing's underside
caught the sun at
just the proper
angle to flash the
Leckingtons about 10
miles away, catching
their attention, for
a total of say 4
flashes at beginning
and end of the 3
tight turns.
The Luscombe
would be too far
away to see its
shape and without
the flashes would be
difficult to spot in
the sky at that
distance (would be
about 2 arcminutes
for full-frontal
wingspan but barely
1 arcmin if seen
broadside to the
20-ft fuselage with
wings level and
on-edge, essentially
invisible).
I am tempted
to extend the
duration of this
debunker fantasy
scenario but it is a
bit difficult.
I can't
imagine Nicholson
continuing to do
maybe 15 loops to
extend the looping
over a full 2.5
minutes duration of
the Leckingtons' the
sighting, as he
would get terribly
dizzy and
disoriented.
I'm not sure
he could do even 3
loops at 2 g's
continuously.
We could make
the loops 1 g and 20
seconds per 360-deg
turn, but that cuts
in half the number
of flashes of
sunlight off his
wing, and still
can't be sure he
could do continuous
1-g looping for any
substantial length
of time. Doing
the tight loops over
Hebo would have such
small radii of turn
that the Leckingtons
would not see the
motion, thus helps
the debunker
scenario slightly.
It is tempting
to say the pilot did
some loops that
flashed sunlight
that caught the
Leckingtons'
attention and then
they were able to
spot the
non-sunflashed tiny
dot of the airplane
and follow it as it
headed E and to the
left about 30 degs
across their field
of view until the
Luscombe disappeared
behind (or in front
of) the 3,150 ft Mt
Hebo after about 3
minutes of
additional flight.
That would add
up to about 3 to
3-1/2 minutes total
duration, a bit long
but within the
ballpark of witness
error. But in
that leftward flight
it is doubtful that
the Luscombe would
have been visible at
only 1 arcminute
angular size and
blending into the
sky with its mirror
imaging of the sky,
presenting
essentially zero
contrast. And
the Leckingtons
should easily have
been able to see the
30 degs of differing
terrain as the
object headed
towards the
mountains, yet they
reported no motion
discernible, no
mountains relevant
or involved, and an
elevation angle of
35 degs or over 10x
the required low
3-deg elevation.
But as I say
we have to throw out
essentially ALL the
data to make this
debunker fantasy
"fit" and it really
still does not fit.
The "round" "saucer"
shape must be thrown
out, too, of course.
Can't have any
saucer-shaped UFO's
'ya know.
Regards,
Brad
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